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The participants of the 10th Anniversary Conference of the International Luxembourg Forum on Preventing Nuclear Catastrophe wish to communicate their extreme concern about the present state of international security
The year is 2020. The Russian military is conducting a large exercise in Kaliningrad, a Russian exclave on the Baltic Sea that borders the NATO member states Lithuania and Poland. An observer aircraft from the Western alliance accidentally crosses into Russian airspace and is shot down by a surface-to-air missile. NATO rushes air squadrons and combat vessels into the region. Both sides warn that they will consider using nuclear weapons if their vital interests are threatened
The reaction to the airing of the HBO series “Chernobyl,” dramatizing the most disastrous nuclear power plant accident in history, and to the news of President Trump’s aborted strike on Iran, amply shows the potential for horrific widescale nuclear catastrophe and the public’s desire to know the true extent of the risk
Statement by the President of The Luxembourg Forum Dr. Moshe Kantor on June 4, 2019 – Rome. «Is a Nuclear Holocaust Unavoidable?»
This event is indeed important, given the crises currently affecting our area of activity and because the majority of the forum’s supervisory board members are personally involved in addressing these crises, along with the heads of six of the leading international organisations engaged in studying nuclear arms control and reduction, sustainable strategic and regional stability and measures to combat nuclear terrorism.
The New Abnormal - Talking points by Dr. William Perry at the conference of the Luxembourg Forum in Rome. June 4, 2019
Earlier this year, the Bulletin of Atomic Scientists made their annual determination on the danger of a nuclear conflict. As you probably know, they quantify that danger by setting a clock, where midnight represents a nuclear conflict that could end our civilization. This year they set the clock at 2 minutes to midnight; closer to catastrophe than any year of the CW except 1954, one of the darkest years of the CW, when it was set at the same level.
The Luxembourg Forum has had successful meetings for more than a decade, highlighting nuclear dangers to the world and making concrete and constructive proposals to lower those dangers. In particular, they have consistently pressed for constructive official dialog between the USA and Russia in the nuclear field
For a euphoric moment, it seemed everything was about to change on the Korean Peninsula. Donald Trump and Kim Jong Un-two leaders with a flair for the dramatic and a willingness to shatter precedents-fanned expectations of a diplomatic breakthrough that would end a nuclear standoff and open a pathway to peace between the two Koreas
Today the eyes of the world are focused on Singapore, where Kim Jong Un and Donald Trump are deciding the future of North Korea's nuclear arsenal; Which in turn will determine whether there will be a military conflict with North Korea. We have faced that stark choice before; but this time there is a huge difference in what a military conflict would entail.
The very fact that we start this meeting of the forum almost at the same time as, as mass media calls, historic meeting in Singapore is very symbolic. But I have to proclaim that the choice of the date for this meeting in Geneva was made long before any hint of meeting in Singapore, and long before exchange of love letters between Kim and Trump
Speech by Andrew Weiss, James Family Chair and Vice President for Studies at the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace at the conference of the Luxembourg Forum in Geneva
The disruptive effects of Donald Trump’s America First policy are hard to overstate, and anyone who’s been watching TV in the last 48 hours probably has a pretty good sense of that. But at the same time, the talks that are beginning in Singapore today are a good reminder of how there’re many urgent real-world security challenges that are too important to ignore, and we should all be hoping for success and progress in the days ahead
Opening statement by the President of the Luxembourg Forum Viatcheslav Kantor at the 10th anniversary conference of the Forum. Paris, October 9, 2017
Ladies and Gentlemen, Colleagues, Friends! Allow me to thank you all for taking part in this conference, held to mark the anniversary of the Luxembourg Forum. Let me remind you that this Forum was established in May 2007 following a conference held in Luxembourg that brought together more than 50 leading international experts from 14 different states, many of whom are now members of the Forum’s Supervisory Board.
America and Russia must cooperate to thwart rogue state attacks The greatest challenge to global security is the nuclear threat from rogue states, led by North Korea and Iran. There will be no progress in ensuring global nuclear stability without cooperation between the United States and Russia. This should be a major priority for Presidents Trump and Putin. Much has been made of states trying to secure their borders against terrorist threats. While it is essential that borders are secured, terrorism is tackled and hatred confronted, we cannot ignore the greatest contemporary threat of all, nuclear attacks. It feels remote and unlikely, but is a very clear and present danger.