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The International Luxembourg Forum on Preventing Nuclear Catastrophe (ILF) has initiated a new project on establishing a Youth Group of the Forum. The Group will comprise of young professionals from different countries that have an understanding of, and interest in, the issues of arms control, nuclear non-proliferation and security. While the final composition of the Group has not yet been established, its first participants have already had a chance to meet and work together within the framework of the annual ILF Supervisory Board Meeting held in Geneva, December 4-5, 2019
Understanding that 2020 will be decisive for the nuclear arms control system and consequently for strategic stability, recognizing the efforts of the above mentioned organizations to prevent nuclear catastrophe and having deliberated as a conference on June 4-5 in Rome and as a Supervisory Board on December 4-5 in Geneva, we propose the following Road Map for these most urgent actions
The participants of the 10th Anniversary Conference of the International Luxembourg Forum on Preventing Nuclear Catastrophe wish to communicate their extreme concern about the present state of international security
Statement by the Euro-Atlantic Security Leadership Group (EASLG) Co-Conveners: Ukraine and Reducing Nuclear Risks
The Co-Conveners of the Euro-Atlantic Security Leadership Group (EASLG) released the following statement:Reducing and eliminating nuclear risks that could lead to catastrophic consequences is a common interest for all nations and an enduring responsibility of the nuclear weapon states
How events will unfold will depend on how firm the joint policy of the negotiators in Vienna, namely the United States, Russia, UK, France, China, and Germany, proves to be. The options, other than a quick diplomatic solution, include continuation of difficult negotiations and tougher sanctions, as well as cyber-attacks or military pinpoint strikes on Iran's key nuclear facilities in order to slow down the country's nuclear weapons development. Large-scale military operations eliciting Iranian retaliation cannot be ruled out either. In this case, given the cautious approach of the U.S., Israel believes that it may have to go-it-alone and conduct highly unpopular military actions involving human casualties
The nuclear talks between the U.S. and Iran are a rare second chance to use negotiations to make sure Iran does not get a nuclear device. As government officials, we participated in high-level nuclear talks with North Korea more than 20 years ago. Based on those discussions, we believe now is the best - and likely only - opportunity to accomplish this task peacefully because Iran still does not have a nuclear weapon
The extension of the New Strategic Arms Reduction Treaty (New START) and the summit between the US and Russian presidents have prompted numerous predictions and recommendations as to what Russia and the United States might do in the next five years to preserve shared principles of strategic stability beyond 2026
The Pentagon’s Nuclear Posture Review, to be released early next year, has led to a pitched battle between arms controllers and deterrence strategists. The fight is over what President Joe Biden should say about when he would consider using nuclear weapons first in the event deterrence fails. U.S. declaratory policy hasn’t ruled out first use, mostly in deference to allies that seek shelter under the U.S. nuclear umbrella
After months of watching hundreds of new nuclear missile silos being dug in the dirt northwest of Beijing, it is welcome news that President Joe Biden and Chinese President Xi Jinping seemingly agreed at last week’s summit on the need for strategic stability talks. Strategic stability - the idea that nuclear-armed countries should not be able to gain decisive advantage over one another - has taken on new importance as China expands and modernizes its nuclear arsenal
On the morning of Oct. 28, 1962, the 13 days of the Cuban missile crisis came to an end with a broadcast on Radio Moscow announcing Soviet leader Nikita Khrushchev’s decision to remove Soviet nuclear missiles from Cuba. What President John F. Kennedy referred to as “the final failure” - a nuclear war - had been averted. The events of 1962 may have brought us as close to nuclear war as the world has ever been, but there have been a number of other very close calls involving false alarms and faulty computers
Congress should require consultation, so generals wouldn’t have to break the rules to save the world Gen. Mark Milley is being criticized for taking actions to forestall the possibility of an inappropriate nuclear launch order by President Trump. The criticism is based on steps the general allegedly took, as described in Bob Woodward and Robert Costa’s new book, “Peril.” Gen. Milley was ostensibly concerned that Mr. Trump was unstable and might order a nuclear launch for political reasons. The general told Congress last month that because he believed China had unwarranted worries of a U.S. attack, he acted to “de-escalate” the situation and contacted his Chinese counterparts to indicate that no attack was planned.
In May of 2018, President Trump announced that the United States would withdraw from the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (JCPOA), and in May of the following year Iran gradually began violating its commitments under the JCPOA. On December 1, 2020, the Iranian Majles passed the Strategic Action Plan to Lift Sanctions and Protect Iranian Nation’s Interests, a bill which demanded that the United States lift all sanctions against Iran by February 21, 2021. If the United States failed to do so, Tehran threatened to abandon the Additional Protocol to its safeguards agreement with the IAEA and step up its nuclear activity. And that is exactly what happened. Today, Iran barely complies with the Additional Protocol.
Leadership Groups Call on China, France, Russia, the United Kingdom and United States to Jointly Reaffirm: “A Nuclear War Cannot Be Won and Must Never Be Fought”
Representatives of the Euro-Atlantic Security Leadership Group (EASLG), the European Leadership Network (ELN), the Asia-Pacific Leadership Network (APLN), and The Elders call on China, France, Russia, the United Kingdom, and the United States to jointly reaffirm: "A nuclear war cannot be won and must never be fought."
Russia and the United States showed that, even during periods of increased tension, they are capable of mitigating the risks of military conflicts and the threat of nuclear war The Geneva meeting between Russian President Vladimir Putin and US President Joe Biden had several dimensions.